MLB in the Book: Predicting 2024 win totals for Mets, NL East clubs

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AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough

After taking a deep dive into the Yankees and the rest of the AL East win totals for the upcoming MLB season, itโ€™s time to turn our attention to the Mets and the NL East.

With the bad taste from 2023 still lingering around Citi Field, fans might be hesitant to get their hopes up for this season considering the Atlanta Braves won the division running away and showed no signs of regression. But that does not mean there still is no value to be found in the book.

New York Mets

Francisco Lindor Mets Phillies
  • 2023 Record: 75-87
  • 2024 O/U Wins: 81.5
  • Pick: Under (-110)

The Metsโ€™ win total being exactly at the over/under .500 mark is the perfect encapsulation of how tempered expectations have been in Queens. After entering last season with sky-high expectations that quickly came crashing down, the Mets seem to be in a state of purgatory โ€” at least in 2024. While making minor additions to the roster with names like Sean Manea and Harrison Bader, there are still plenty of questions left to be answered about how the roster is constructed and if they can sustain a winning model. With news of Kodai Sengai already starting the season on the IL, it seems like this is giving indications of another mediocre season for the Mets. While they may come close to scaring the over .500 mark, I believe they will fall just short.ย 

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Atlanta Braves

Matt Olson Braves Mets
  • 2023 Record: 104-58
  • 2024 O/U Wins: 101.5
  • Pick: Over (+100)

After running away with the division last year, there is no reason to believe the Braves train will not keep rolling through the NL East. Being able to stack wins against teams like the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins will only aid Atlanta as they look for their third straight season with 100-plus wins. Keeping their main core intact while adding reinforcements such as Chris Sale and Jarred Kelenic, I believe the Braves will win the division by…

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