A new poll of registered voters in Nevada suggests the state is poised to reprise its role as a key battleground in the presidential election next November, while its first-in-the-West Republican caucuses in February could help to cement former President Donald Trump’s hold on the race for his party’s nomination.
President Joe Biden and Trump split registered voters in a hypothetical 2024 matchup in Nevada by a near-even margin with no clear leader: 46% support Biden, 45% Trump in a CNN poll of the state conducted by SSRS. The poll’s results mirror the tight race seen in nearly all recent national polls testing initial reactions to a repeat of the 2020 presidential election, when Biden won Nevada by just over 2 percentage points.
Many of those backing Biden in a potential 2024 rematch say their choice would be motivated largely by opposition to his chief Republican rival. Most, 55%, say their ballot would be more a vote against Trump, while 44% say it would be more an affirmative show of support for Biden. By contrast, 63% of Trump supporters say they’d vote for him mostly as a show of support.
Nevada could play a central part in choosing a Republican nominee for president next year, with its caucuses, set for February 8, serving as the third contest in the GOP’s nomination race. The new poll finds Trump, with 65% support, as the clear favorite among likely Republican caucusgoers. More than 8 in 10 Trump supporters in the Silver State say they’re unlikely to change their mind about voting for him, meaning that overall, a majority, 54%, of all likely Republican caucusgoers in the poll already consider themselves locked-in Trump voters After Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis holds 13% support, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has 6%, tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy has 4% and former Vice President Mike Pence has 3%. All other candidates tested in the poll land at 2%…
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