NYC weather: Temperature trends give clues on snow possibility for rest of winter

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — Looking ahead to next week’s warming temperatures, you might consider packing away the winter gear for good. While that taste of spring appears quite appealing, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Bob Larson says it’s “entirely premature” to rule out snowfall through March.

However, thanks to anticipated temperatures, conditions will need to come together to allow for any real snowfall going forward.

A WARMING TREND

At this time, AccuWeather forecasts temperature highs to sit in the 50s next week, the warmth peaking on Wednesday with an expected high of 61.

“There is no evidence of any snowstorms for at least the next week,” Larson said.

“But to say that there is not going to be anymore snowstorms for the rest of the season is entirely premature . . . ‚’’ Larson added. “We still have the entire month of March.”

While any substantial snow can be dismissed for the coming days, what can be said about March?

Turning to outlooks from the National Weather Service’s (NWS) Climate Prediction Center, we gain a general sense of what lies in store for New York City in the month ahead.

An 8- to 14-day temperature outlook encapsulating March 1 through March 7 reveals that New York City and most of the state (the exception being the far western portion), are cast in a stretch of land with a 70% to 80% probability of experiencing warmer-than-average temperatures.

Another Climate Prediction Center graph showcases anticipated temperatures within a broader range of March 2 through March 15. This outlook places New York as a whole, in a band with a 60% to 70% likelihood of having above average temperatures. Should this be true, snow will likely struggle to form within the first half of March as…