NFL Week 14 is upon us, and the buzz is all about edges — not just the ones players have on the field, but the betting edges that can make all the difference to those placing wagers. Dimers.com has applied their advanced analytics to this week’s matchups, revealing ten bets with significant edges, including a surprise at #1.
Top 10 betting edges for NFL Week 14
Data analysts have crunched the numbers, providing a valuable glimpse into the potential outcomes of the NFL’s Week 14 games. Here are the top ten betting edges, complete with the probability and betting odds:
Week 14′s biggest betting edge
Derek Carr under 1.5 rushing attempts, DraftKings +124
The biggest edge of NFL Week 14 belongs to Derek Carr, and for a fairly obscure market. The embattled New Orleans QB needs to record fewer than 1.5 rushing attempts when the New Orleans Saints take on the Carolina Panthers this Sunday at 1:00 PM E.T.
“Our model gives Carr a 74.2% chance to stay under 1.5 rushing attempts against Carolina,” explained Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn. “Current DraftKings odds are +124, which implies a probability of 44.6%. That means this is a huge edge, and a great value.”
Top 10 Week 14 betting edges
Note: Clicking the “Take this bet with…” buttons below will direct you to the online sportsbook offering the listed NFL odds. For new users, the buttons will also activate the applicable sportsbook’s welcome bonus for NFL Week 14. Odds are correct at time of publication and subject to change.
- Derek Carr Under 1.5 Rushing Attempts: Probability 74.2%, Edge 29.6%, Odds +124
- Take this bet with DraftKings
- Khalil Herbert Over 21.5 Rushing Yards: Probability 81.5%, Edge 29.2%, Odds -110
- Take this bet with DraftKings
- Jamaal Williams Under 22.5 Rushing Yards: Probability 79.1%, Edge 26.0%, Odds -113
- Take this bet with FanDuel
- Bijan Robinson Over 69.5 Rushing Yards: Probability 78.4%, Edge 24.9%, Odds -115
- Take this bet with DraftKings
- Dameon Pierce Under 10.5 Rushing Attempts: Probability…
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