El Nino is in the works as warmer waters migrate eastward in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Over the next one to two, El Nino will add extra warmth to the atmosphere, in addition to the ongoing process of global warming, and may send global averages for a period of time to new record highs. The probability of developing El Nino conditions show little doubt in nearly all models. Because the eventual global impact of a moderate to strong El Nino would bring additional warming – with its deleterious effects – NOAA and the Climate Prediction Center have issued an El Nino Watch, recognizing this potential as a weather and climate hazard.
The warm sea surface temperature anomalies are already strong off the western coast of South America.
The life cycle of many ticks appears to have been sped up, and milder winters have lessened tick kill-off during the cold weather months. Even so, the basic life cycle hasn’t changed, according to the Centers of Disease Control and Prevention.
Even the subsurface temperatures have shown this rapid warming trend in recent weeks.
The probabilities of El Nino persisting into at least mid-winter are high, and if El Nino amplitude grows from moderate to strong, this may have a more significant overall warming tendency for our region…
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