With a gusty breeze accompanying Wednesday’s warmup, this is not the time to be burning leaves or other debris. For most of Western New York, it’s been a dry November at its midpoint, with only .48 inch of rain at Buffalo, minus-1.17 inch below average. This has resulted in an elevated risk of wildfires over a large region, exacerbated by Wednesday’s winds.
The breeze will diminish for Thursday, though it will remain dry and mild with high temps in the upper 50s, with some low 60s inland. Abundant sunshine will increase, and it will be a spectacular autumn day.
Friday brings a different story, with an area of low pressure and its sharp cold front bringing widespread showers into the region during the morning and much of the afternoon.
Midday highs in the mid- to upper 50s will dip into the 40s by the end of the day, behind the cold front. Rainfall amounts should be sufficient to take the wildfire threat down considerably.
Saturday will be seasonably cold but bright, with a partly to mostly sunny sky. The high of 40-42 won’t be too hard to take, with a lighter breeze.
Despite Monday night’s sorrow, I still have to plow ahead with a Sunday Buffalo Bills game-day forecast that, at least, will not require plowing. However, it will be a chilly day, with the morning low for early tailgaters starting at around 32. Some scattered light rain and wet snow showers may move in Saturday night and still be around Sunday morning, but sparse in coverage with no accumulation. By game time, the temps should edge up to the low 40s, and any leftover spotty activity should be liquid, if over the stadium at all. The American GFS model shows a dry game. The worst-case scenario is in the European/ECMWF model, which has spotty rain showers, but the depicted light green color indicates very light amounts.
Even the pessimistic ECMWF shows dissipation of any showers by later in the game. What fans may notice most is a noticeable wind chill, with a…
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